Tropical Storm CARLOS Advisory 17.06.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
0300 UTC WED JUN 17 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

P VALLARTA     34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34 29  16(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  3   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MANZANILLO     34 18   6(24)   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
MANZANILLO     50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
FORECASTER LANDSEA